India TV-CNX Poll Predicts Modi-led NDA to Lead in LS Polls



A recent opinion poll by India TV-CNX predicts that the Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would have a commanding lead over the opposition alliance INDIA if Lok Sabha elections were held now.


Our Analysis and Commentary

Modi-led NDA Poised for a Commanding Lead: A Bright Future for India

The recent India TV-CNX opinion poll has shed light on the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, and it seems that Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his National Democratic Alliance (NDA) are in a strong position to secure a commanding lead over the opposition alliance, INDIA. This poll provides a glimpse into the potential future of Indian politics, and the projections are certainly promising for the NDA.

With seat projections for 265 out of 543 Lok Sabha constituencies, the poll suggests that the NDA may win 144 seats, while the INDIA alliance may secure 85 seats. Additionally, ‘Others’ are expected to claim 36 seats. These projections are based on a sample size of 44,548 eligible voters, providing a reliable representation of the Indian electorate.

Looking at the individual state projections, it becomes evident that the NDA is making significant strides. In Rajasthan, a traditionally Congress-ruled state, the NDA is expected to win 21 out of 25 seats, showcasing their growing popularity among the voters. Similarly, in Madhya Pradesh, the NDA may secure 24 seats out of a total of 29, indicating a strong mandate from the electorate.

The projections also highlight the momentum of the NDA in southern states. In Tamil Nadu, the INDIA alliance led by the DMK may win 30 out of 39 seats, while the NDA is expected to secure the remaining nine seats. This demonstrates the NDA’s ability to challenge and make inroads into opposition strongholds.

Furthermore, the projections for Andhra Pradesh indicate that the YSR Congress may claim all 25 Lok Sabha seats, leaving no room for either the NDA or the INDIA alliance. This makes it evident that regional parties are also playing a crucial role in shaping the political landscape of India.

It is commendable to witness the NDA’s progress in states like Delhi and Punjab. In Delhi, if the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) enters into seat-sharing with the Congress, the NDA is projected to win five seats, showcasing their appeal even in regions governed by other parties. Similarly, in Punjab, if the AAP and the Congress come together, the INDIA alliance may sweep all 13 seats, leaving no seats for the NDA. This highlights the need for strategic coalition building and the strength of united fronts in Indian politics.

As the projections for the remaining 278 seats are yet to be announced, it is crucial to wait for the complete picture before drawing any final conclusions. However, the initial findings indicate a positive trajectory for the NDA. It showcases the popularity and appeal of Prime Minister Narendra Modi‘s leadership, as well as the fruitful alliances formed by the NDA with regional parties across India.

The India TV-CNX opinion poll provides a valuable insight into the pulse of the nation ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. It offers a positive outlook for the NDA, signaling a bright future for India. However, it is important to remember that elections are dynamic, and the political landscape can shift rapidly. Therefore, it will be interesting to witness how these projections unfold and impact the overall electoral outcome.


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India TV-CNX poll predicts, Modi-led NDA may get commanding lead over opposition, if LS polls are held now

Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance will score a commanding lead over opposition alliance INDIA, if Lok Sabha elections are held now, predicts India TV-CNX opinion poll, results of which were telecast in “Desh Ki Awaz” special show on the news channel this afternoon.

Seat projections of 265 out of a total of 543 Lok Sabha constituencies were made today, while the projections for remaining 278 seats will be made tomorrow (Saturday).

Today’s seat projections were made for all North-eastern states, Delhi, Punjab, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Bihar, Jharkhand, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh.

The opinion poll predicts , NDA may win 144 LS seats, while INDIA alliance may win 85 seats, and ‘Others’ may get 36 seats.

The projections are based on a poll conducted among a sample size of 44,548 eligible voters, of them 23,871 males and 20,677 females, spread across India.

NDA may win 21 out of 25 LS seats in Congress-ruled Rajasthan, while remaining four may go to Congress-led INDIA alliance. In BJP-ruled Madhya Pradesh(total 29 seats), NDA may win 24 LS seats, while remaining five seats may go to the opposition alliance. In Tamil Nadu(total 39), INDIA alliance led by DMK may win 30 LS seats, while NDA may win the remaining nine seats.

In Bihar, BJP-led NDA may win 24, while INDIA alliance may win 16 LS seats, according to the opinion poll. In Andhra Pradesh, all the 25 LS seats may go to YSR Congress, while both NDA and INDIA may score nil.

In Telangana, out of a total of 17 LS seats, nine seats may go to the state ruling party Bharat Rashtra Samithi, while NDA may get six and opposition alliance may get only two seats.

In the national capital territory of Delhi, ruled by Aam Aadmi Party, if AAP enters into seat-sharing with Congress, five seats may go to BJP, while INDIA alliance may win two remaining seats. In AAP-ruled Punjab, if AAP enters into seat sharing with Congress, then INDIA alliance, which includes Congress and AAP, may sweep all 13 seats, while NDA may score a nil.

In Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, out of a total six LS seats, NDA may win three, INDIA alliance may win two and ‘Others’ may win one seat. In Congress-ruled Himachal Pradesh(total 4 seats), NDA may win three seats and the Congress may win one seat.

In Haryana, NDA may win eight out of a total of 10 seats, while INDIA alliance may win two seats. In Jharkhand Mukti Morcha-ruled Jharkhand, BJP-led NDA may win 13 out of a total of 14 LS seats, while INDIA alliance may win only one seat.

In Congress-ruled Chhattisgarh, NDA may win seven out of a total of 11 LS seats, while remaining four may go to INDIA alliance.

Among the north-eastern states, NDA may win 12 out of a total of 14 LS seats in Assam, while INDIA alliance and ‘Others’(AIUDF) may win one seat each. In violence-torn Manipur, both the LS seats may be won by INDIA alliance. NDA may win all the remaining nine LS seats in other N.E. states of Mizoram, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura and Sikkim.

The break-up for North-East: Manipur: NDA 0, INDIA 2, Assam: NDA 12, INDIA 1, Others 1, Mizoram: MNF -1, Meghalaya: NPP 1, UDP 1, Nagaland: NDPP 1, Arunachal Pradesh: BJP 2, Tripura: BJP 2, Sikkim: SKM 1.

LS seat projections for the remaining 278 seats in other states will be telecast tomorrow at 4 pm on India TV.


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