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ABP Network-C Voter Presents the Opinion Poll for Assembly Elections of 2021

MediaInfoline March 16, 2021
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As the election season is picking up its speed in West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, ABP Network released the findings of its opinion poll across the five regions. ABP Network along with research partner C-Voter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), conducted the opinion poll to know the mood of the nation.

As per public opinion, the ABP Network-CVoter poll predicts that for the upcoming elections in Tamil Nadu, UPA is expected to get 43.7 % vote share (161 to 169 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 30.6% vote share (53 to 61 seats).

 

Tamil Nadu

 

Party Alliance: Votes (%)

Alliance Votes : Tamil Nadu 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 39.4 43.7 4.3
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 43.7 30.6 -13.1
MNM 0.0 7.0 7.0
AMMK 0.0 6.4 6.4
Others 16.9 12.3 -4.6
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0

 

Tamil Nadu Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Tamil Nadu From To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 161 169
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 53 61
MNM 2 6
AMMK 1 5
Others 3 7
Total 234

In Puducherry, they poll predicts that UPA will receive 40.7% vote share, followed by NDA with 45.4 % vote share.

Puducherry Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes : Puducherry 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
UPA (Congress+DMK) 39.5 40.7 1.2
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 30.5 45.4 14.9
Others 30.0 13.9 -16.1
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0

 

Puducherry Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry From To
UPA (Congress+DMK) 10 14
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 16 20
Others 0 1
Total 30

In Kerala, LDF is expected to receive 42.9% vote share, followed by UDF with 37.9% vote share.

Kerala Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Kerala 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
LDF 43.5 42.9 -0.6
UDF 38.8 37.9 -0.9
BJP 14.9 14.6 -0.3
Others 2.8 4.6 1.8
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0

 

Kerala Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Kerala From To
LDF 77 85
UDF 54 62
BJP 0 2
Others 0 1
Total 140

In Assam, NDA is expected to get 45.0% vote share (64 to 72 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 42.2% vote share (52 to 60 Seats).

Assam Party Alliance : Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Assam 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
NDA 41.9 45.0 3.1
UPA 31.0 42.2 11.2
Others 27.1 12.8 -14.3
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0

 

Assam Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam From To
NDA 64 72
UPA 52 60
Others 0 5
Total 126

In West Bengal, TMC is expected to get 43.4% vote share (150 to 166 seats), followed by BJP with 38.4% vote share (98 to 114 seats).

West Bengal Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : West Bengal 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
TMC 44.9 43.4 -1.5
BJP 10.2 38.4 28.2
INC+LEFT+ISF 37.9 12.7 -25.2
Others 7.0 5.5 -1.5
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0

 

West Bengal Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : West Bengal From To
TMC 150 166
BJP 98 114
INC+LEFT 23 31
Others 1 5
Total 294

Methodology

As for the methodology and poll details, the CVoter poll reached out to a total of approximately 10154+ people in Kerala, 1066+ people in Puducherry, 11656+ people in Tamil Nadu, 10807+ people in Assam and 19314+ people in West Bengal making it a total of 52997+people. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic poll).

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