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ABP Network-CVoter Final Opinion Poll Survey: TMC to hold power in Bengal

MediaInfoline March 24, 2021
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ABP Network has revealed the findings of its Final Opinion Poll Survey for all four states and a union territory that go to polls in 2021 – West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala, and Puducherry. Conducted alongside research partner CVoter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), the opinion poll survey aims to provide a clearer picture of how the ballot game stands in the five states.

The ABP Network-CVoter survey revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 42.1% vote share (152-168 seats), whereas BJP stands second with 37.4% vote share (104-120 seats), followed by Left-Congress-ISF Alliance with 13% vote share (18-26 seats).

The eight-phase election in Bengal will begin from March 27 and end on April 29. The counting of votes and results will be declared on May 2.

West Bengal Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: West Bengal 2021 Projection
TMC 42.1
BJP 37.4
INC+LEFT+ISF 13.0
Others 7.5
Total 100.0

 

West Bengal Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : West Bengal From To
TMC 152 168
BJP 104 120
INC+LEFT 18 26
Others 0 2
Total 294

Furthermore, according to the survey, NDA is leading in Assam with 45% vote share (65 to 73 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 41.1% vote share (52 to 60 Seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 13.9% vote share (0 to 4 seats).

Assam Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Assam 2021 Projection
NDA 45.0
UPA 41.1
Others 13.9
Total 100.0

 

Assam Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam From To
NDA 65 73
UPA 52 60
Others 0 4
Total 126

As for Kerala, LDF is leading with 42.4% vote share (71 to 83 seats), whereas UDF stands second with 38.6% vote share (56 to 68 Seats). BJP grabs the third spot with mere 16.4% vote share (0 to 2 seats).

Kerala Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Kerala 2021 Projection
LDF 42.4
UDF 38.6
BJP 16.4
Others 2.6
Total 100.0
 

 

Kerala Projected Range Of Seats  
 
Alliance Seats: Kerala From To
LDF 71 83
UDF 56 68
BJP 0 2
Others 0 0
Total 140  

In Puducherry, NDA is leading with 47.2% vote share (19 to 23 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 39.5% vote share (7-11 seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 13.3% vote share (0 to 1 seat).

Puducherry Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Puducherry 2021 Projection
UPA (Congress+DMK) 39.5
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 47.2
Others 13.3
Total 100.0

 

Puducherry Projected Range Of Seats  
 
Alliance Seats : Puducherry From To
UPA (Congress+DMK) 7 11
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 19 23
Others 0 1
Total 30  

The survey revealed that as per public opinion, UPA is leading in Tamil Nadu with 46% vote share (173 to 181 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 34.6% vote share (45 to 53 Seats). MNM grabs the third spot with mere 4.4% vote share (1 to 5 seats).

Tamil Nadu Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : TamilNadu 2021 Projection
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 46.0
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 34.6
MNM 4.4
AMMK 3.6
Others 11.4
Total 100.0

 

Tamil Nadu Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : TamilNadu From To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 173 181
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 45 53
MNM 1 5
AMMK 1 5
Others 0 4
Total 234

As for the methodology and survey details, the CVoter survey reached out to a total of approximately 2290 people in West Bengal, 1513 people in Tamil Nadu, 1735 people in Kerala, 1002 people in Puducherry, 1117 people in Assam. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey). The results are subject to a margin of error: +/- 3% and Confidence: 95%.

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